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BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
Infamousloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team DogChamploss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Lumière · 10 games
60%
Mars
Marssignature
Sacred · 9 games
89%
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 7 games
71%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Michael · 7 games
57%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
83%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
80%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Parker · 5 games
60%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
100%

Team DogChamp

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
yarintheslayer · 6 games
67%
Mars
Marssignature
lukiluki · 6 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
lukiluki · 5 games
80%
Bane
Bane
Bloody Nine · 4 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
yarintheslayer · 4 games
100%
Lion
Lion
yarintheslayer · 4 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddon
Bloody Nine · 3 games
33%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Bloody Nine · 3 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
539 picks · 383 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
447 picks · 653 bans
51%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
445 picks · 532 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
429 picks · 843 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
343 picks · 178 bans
45%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 539 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
333 picks · 541 bans
54%
Wraith King
Wraith King
274 picks · 310 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 62%
Hero pool strength52% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Team DogChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:8
Infamous 50%Team DogChamp 50%
The model gave 50% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 27:39.
Game 2prediction correct47:40
Infamous 50%Team DogChamp 50%
The model gave 50% on Team DogChamp — the game was taken by Team DogChamp in 32:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam DogChamp · 50%
Accuracy by game2 of 2