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BTS Pro Series Season 13: Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The Cutloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infamous

Bane
Bane
Prada · 6 games
33%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Mariano · 5 games
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Prada · 5 games
20%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Genek · 5 games
60%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Mariano · 5 games
40%
Rubick
Rubick
Genek · 5 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Mariano · 4 games
25%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
25%

The Cut

Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
bgod · 15 games
27%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
high_shaggy · 10 games
30%
Marci
Marcioften banned
bgod · 10 games
30%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
red2 · 9 games
44%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jubei · 8 games
25%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Jubei · 8 games
25%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
high_shaggy · 8 games
13%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Scourge McDuck · 7 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
Marci
383 picks · 584 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
343 picks · 254 bans
51%
Undying
Undying
329 picks · 561 bans
54%
Enigma
Enigma
247 picks · 765 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
241 picks · 330 bans
54%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
236 picks · 439 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
219 picks · 330 bans
45%
Tusk
Tusk
211 picks · 99 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% The Cut
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total76% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:15
Infamous 61%The Cut 39%
The model gave 61% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 29:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerMnz
39% · 30 games49% · 24 games
SvenScourge McDuck
Sven
Tidehunter
TidehunterOscar
47% · 58 games55% · 97 games
LeshracPiPi
Leshrac
Mirana
Miranasl4d1n-
55% · 85 games53% · 94 games
Tuskbgod
Tusk
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiMjz
44% · 42 games
Game 2prediction correct40:16
Infamous 63%The Cut 37%
The model gave 63% on Infamous — the game was taken by Infamous in 34:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidMnz
55% · 60 games52% · 93 games
LinaPiPi
Lina
Tidehunter
TidehunterOscar
41% · 84 games58% · 44 games
BloodseekerScourge McDuck
Bloodseeker
Windranger
Windrangersl4d1n-
54% · 36 games46% · 93 games
Hoodwinkbgod
Hoodwink
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiMjz
45% · 50 games
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 76%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2