Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Beastmasteroften banned
Hermit · 13 games
Tinyoften banned
S1RENM · 9 games
Ember Spiritsignature
S1RENM · 8 games
Clockwerk
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 6 games
Queen of Painoften banned
S1RENM · 6 games
Ursaoften banned
DM · 6 games
Veritas Brothers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
481 picks · 448 bans
Tiny
476 picks · 559 bans
Ringmaster
446 picks · 229 bans
Terrorblade
351 picks · 692 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 475 bans
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 707 bans
Tusk
299 picks · 250 bans
Windranger
291 picks · 90 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength51% Veritas Brothers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% Veritas Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:36
Infamous 42%Veritas Brothers 58%
The model gave 58% on Veritas Brothers — the game was taken by Veritas Brothers in 38:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BristlebackJP
LinaCostabile
RubickAlone
AbaddonOscar
Miranasl4d1n-
ClockwerkGardick
JakiroCHAAANNN
Game 2prediction correct19:38
Infamous 40%Veritas Brothers 60%
The model gave 60% on Veritas Brothers — the game was taken by Veritas Brothers in 30:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SvenJP
TerrorbladeCostabile
TinyAlone
Dark SeerOscar
SilencerCHAAANNN
Nature's ProphetGardick
Shadow Shamansl4d1n-
Model check result
Model favoriteVeritas Brothers · 69%
Series resultVeritas Brothers 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2