BTS Pro Series Season 10. Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Infamouswin 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wildcard Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infamous
Gyrocoptersignature
Lumière · 10 games
Marssignature
Sacred · 9 games
Bloodseekersignature
Sacred · 7 games
Earth Spirit
Michael · 7 games
Miranasignature
Michael · 6 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Michael · 5 games
Lunaoften banned
Parker · 5 games
Ogre Magi
Prada · 5 games
Wildcard Gaming
Queen of Painsignature
iAnnihilate · 6 games
Lunaoften banned
DaaD- · 5 games
Marsoften banned
Sunlight · 4 games
Rubick
The Warden · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
The Warden · 4 games
Gyrocopter
DaaD- · 3 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Sunlight · 3 games
Puckoften banned
iAnnihilate · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 361 bans
Queen of Pain
472 picks · 567 bans
Mars
436 picks · 594 bans
Weaver
415 picks · 713 bans
Kunkka
351 picks · 537 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 569 bans
Snapfire
330 picks · 160 bans
Wraith King
277 picks · 359 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 45%
Hero pool strength54% Infamous
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Infamous
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed47:19
Infamous 66%Wildcard Gaming 34%
The model gave 66% on Infamous — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 31:31.
Game 2prediction missed39:14
Infamous 66%Wildcard Gaming 34%
The model gave 66% on Infamous — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming in 30:11.
Model check result
Model favoriteInfamous · 66%
Series resultInfamous 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2