Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Apex Genesiswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Infinity Esports
Techies
Hyko · 12 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Gardick · 9 games
Brewmastersignature
Oscar · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Parker · 7 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Oscar · 6 games
Grimstrokesignature
Yadomi · 6 games
Hoodwink
Hyko · 6 games
Monkey Kingsignature
PiPi · 6 games
Apex Genesis
Phoenixoften banned
YamSun · 10 games
Pangolieroften banned
W1sh- · 9 games
Gyrocoptersignature
Speeed · 8 games
Rubick
Bignum · 8 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Fayde · 7 games
Tinyoften banned
BliNcc · 7 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Fayde · 6 games
Lifestealersignature
Sammyboy · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
377 picks · 789 bans
Hoodwink
357 picks · 355 bans
Rubick
346 picks · 248 bans
Weaver
342 picks · 716 bans
Clockwerk
316 picks · 467 bans
Pangolier
308 picks · 499 bans
Gyrocopter
304 picks · 374 bans
Phoenix
294 picks · 619 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 57%
Hero pool strength51% Apex Genesis
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Infinity Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:31
Infinity Esports 51%Apex Genesis 49%
The model gave 51% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Apex Genesis in 48:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MorphlingLumière
SvenSammyboy
Dragon KnightPiPi
Ember SpiritW1sh-
Primal BeastFCR
TidehunterFayde
TechiesHyko
WindrangerBignum
JakiroGardick
PhoenixYamSun
Game 2prediction missed15:29
Infinity Esports 53%Apex Genesis 47%
The model gave 53% on Infinity Esports — the game was taken by Apex Genesis in 39:14.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember SpiritPiPi
TerrorbladeSammyboy
Monkey KingLumière
Sand KingFayde
PangolierFCR
RubickW1sh-
WeaverGardick
SnapfireBignum
JakiroHyko
SvenYamSun
Model check result
Model favoriteInfinity Esports · 54%
Series resultApex Genesis 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2