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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Infinity Esportsloss 1:3
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 1:3
Wawitas Sagazeswin 3:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Infinity Esports

Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Prada · 7 games
57%
Underlord
Underlord
Frank · 6 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
Kiri · 5 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Mr.Jeans · 4 games
50%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
25%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Frank · 4 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Prada · 3 games
0%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Frank · 3 games
0%

Wawitas Sagazes

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 4 games
50%
Weaver
Weaveroften banned
Lumière · 4 games
75%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Oscar · 3 games
100%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
DarkMago · 3 games
100%
Enchantress
Enchantress
Panda · 3 games
67%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
DarkMago · 3 games
33%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Panda · 3 games
67%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
Panda · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
246 picks · 110 bans
52%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
245 picks · 299 bans
52%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
234 picks · 263 bans
52%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
211 picks · 449 bans
63%
Phoenix
Phoenix
209 picks · 278 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
205 picks · 424 bans
52%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
186 picks · 283 bans
46%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
182 picks · 175 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 63%
Hero pool strength58% Wawitas Sagazes
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total65% Wawitas Sagazes
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:11
Infinity Esports 35%Wawitas Sagazes 65%
The model gave 65% on Wawitas Sagazes — the game was taken by Wawitas Sagazes in 38:32.
Game 2prediction correct11:29
Infinity Esports 35%Wawitas Sagazes 65%
The model gave 65% on Wawitas Sagazes — the game was taken by Wawitas Sagazes in 36:33.
Game 3prediction correct7:20
Infinity Esports 35%Wawitas Sagazes 65%
The model gave 65% on Wawitas Sagazes — the game was taken by Wawitas Sagazes in 26:59.
Game 4prediction correct19:34
Infinity Esports 35%Wawitas Sagazes 65%
The model gave 65% on Wawitas Sagazes — the game was taken by Wawitas Sagazes in 45:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteWawitas Sagazes · 65%
Series resultWawitas Sagazes 1:3
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game4 of 4