European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circlewin 2:1series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Rune Eatersloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Inner Circle
Warlock
Se · 22 games
Hoodwink
Fernans · 20 games
Tiny
Jing · 20 games
Tusk
Daze · 19 games
Jakiro
Se · 17 games
Puckoften banned
Supream^ · 16 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 15 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 15 games
Rune Eaters
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 48 games
Jakiro
monodrama · 45 games
Tusk
ani-san · 38 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 37 games
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
559 picks · 456 bans
Tiny
489 picks · 383 bans
Hoodwink
483 picks · 251 bans
Phoenix
478 picks · 536 bans
Tusk
440 picks · 377 bans
Puck
369 picks · 895 bans
Shadow Demon
367 picks · 925 bans
Beastmaster
363 picks · 821 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 48%
Hero pool strength53% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total66% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Inner Circle 34%Rune Eaters 66%
The model gave 66% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Game 2prediction missed
Inner Circle 34%Rune Eaters 66%
The model gave 66% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Inner Circle.
Game 3prediction missed
Inner Circle 34%Rune Eaters 66%
The model gave 66% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Inner Circle.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 66%
Series resultInner Circle 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3