Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Inner Circleloss 0:2series probability
20%80%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Virtus.prowin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Inner Circle
Hoodwink
Fernans · 30 games
Tiny
Jing · 24 games
Tuskoften banned
Fernans · 23 games
Warlock
Se · 21 game
Puckoften banned
niche · 19 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 17 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 17 games
Jakiro
Se · 16 games
Virtus.pro
Jakiro
Fly · 29 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Abed · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Abed · 20 games
Tiny
Hellscream · 20 games
Muertaoften banned
Timado · 19 games
Phoenixoften banned
Fly · 17 games
Primal Beastoften banned
SabeRLight- · 17 games
Tidehunteroften banned
SabeRLight- · 17 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 441 bans
Rubick
551 picks · 312 bans
Tiny
414 picks · 391 bans
Pangolier
405 picks · 582 bans
Phoenix
378 picks · 415 bans
Clockwerk
345 picks · 636 bans
Ember Spirit
344 picks · 503 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 374 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 36%
Hero pool strength54% Inner Circle
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total80% Virtus.pro
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct2:25
Inner Circle 34%Virtus.pro 66%
The model gave 66% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 34:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster423
Shadow FiendTimado
Doomlaise
Centaur WarrunnerSabeRLight-
LinaStojkov
Earth SpiritAbed
HoodwinkFernans
Keeper of the LightHellscream
AxeSe
Winter WyvernFly
Game 2prediction correct11:26
Inner Circle 32%Virtus.pro 68%
The model gave 68% on Virtus.pro — the game was taken by Virtus.pro in 38:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Underlordlaise
SvenTimado
PuckStojkov
Dark SeerSabeRLight-
Drow Ranger423
SlardarAbed
WindrangerFernans
ClockwerkHellscream
TuskSe
Winter WyvernFly
Model check result
Model favoriteVirtus.pro · 80%
Series resultVirtus.pro 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2