BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:1series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Azure Rayloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Azure Ray
Tinyoften banned
fy · 19 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
Clockwerk
fy · 15 games
Leshracoften banned
Ori · 13 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 12 games
Lifestealersignature
lou · 12 games
Svenoften banned
lou · 12 games
Pangoliersignature
Ori · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
344 picks · 331 bans
Hoodwink
339 picks · 392 bans
Pangolier
327 picks · 487 bans
Snapfire
307 picks · 267 bans
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
Enchantress
286 picks · 470 bans
Dragon Knight
285 picks · 448 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% Azure Ray
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:18
Invictus Gaming 35%Azure Ray 65%
The model gave 65% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 35:31.
Game 2prediction correct23:43
Invictus Gaming 35%Azure Ray 65%
The model gave 65% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 1:11:31.
Game 3prediction correct14:36
Invictus Gaming 35%Azure Ray 65%
The model gave 65% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 41:47.
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 65%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3