ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingwin 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Secretloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Team Secret
Pangoliersignature
zai · 6 games
Pucksignature
Puppey · 6 games
Rubicksignature
YapzOr · 6 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Nisha · 5 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Puppey · 5 games
Earth Spirit
YapzOr · 4 games
Earthshaker
YapzOr · 4 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
MATUMBAMAN · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
458 picks · 1015 bans
Void Spirit
428 picks · 614 bans
Mars
373 picks · 660 bans
Death Prophet
349 picks · 652 bans
Earth Spirit
337 picks · 291 bans
Phoenix
276 picks · 388 bans
Monkey King
267 picks · 844 bans
Rubick
264 picks · 178 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 79%
Hero pool strength59% Team Secret
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Team Secret
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:14
Invictus Gaming 43%Team Secret 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 41:21.
Game 2prediction correct26:18
Invictus Gaming 43%Team Secret 57%
The model gave 57% on Team Secret — the game was taken by Team Secret in 30:26.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Secret · 57%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2