DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionICIRON CLANloss 1:2
series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Get Rektwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
IRON CLAN
Batrideroften banned
N1NE · 2 games
Dark Willow
N1NE · 2 games
Ogre Magi
CHAAANNN · 2 games
Bounty Hunter
N1NE · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Cucahook · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cucahook · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Cucahook · 1 game
Lich
CHAAANNN · 1 game
Get Rekt
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
410 picks · 539 bans
Muerta
407 picks · 338 bans
Tusk
367 picks · 387 bans
Lion
354 picks · 179 bans
Pangolier
351 picks · 582 bans
Batrider
349 picks · 437 bans
Beastmaster
335 picks · 805 bans
Gyrocopter
325 picks · 502 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Get Rekt
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Get Rekt
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
IRON CLAN 44%Get Rekt 56%
The model gave 56% on Get Rekt — the game was taken by Get Rekt.
Game 2prediction missed
IRON CLAN 44%Get Rekt 56%
The model gave 56% on Get Rekt — the game was taken by IRON CLAN.
Game 3prediction correct
IRON CLAN 44%Get Rekt 56%
The model gave 56% on Get Rekt — the game was taken by Get Rekt.
Model check result
Model favoriteGet Rekt · 56%
Series resultGet Rekt 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3