Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Западная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
IVYwin 2:0series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
EEEkipa e Kosovesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
IVY
Marsoften banned
TheBloodySky · 11 games
Spirit Breakeroften banned
TheBloodySky · 11 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Lowskill · 6 games
Medusasignature
Lowskill · 6 games
Linaoften banned
Copy · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 5 games
Weaveroften banned
jmn- · 5 games
Bane
jmn- · 4 games
Ekipa e Kosoves
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
549 picks · 369 bans
Queen of Pain
481 picks · 578 bans
Mars
448 picks · 604 bans
Weaver
425 picks · 776 bans
Snapfire
364 picks · 176 bans
Kunkka
348 picks · 548 bans
Spirit Breaker
344 picks · 575 bans
Wraith King
287 picks · 348 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)21% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% Ekipa e Kosoves
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Ekipa e Kosoves
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:15
IVY 34%Ekipa e Kosoves 66%
The model gave 66% on Ekipa e Kosoves — the game was taken by IVY in 27:14.
Game 2prediction missed38:37
IVY 34%Ekipa e Kosoves 66%
The model gave 66% on Ekipa e Kosoves — the game was taken by IVY in 50:13.
Model check result
Model favoriteEkipa e Kosoves · 66%
Series resultIVY 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2