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CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
JustBetterwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dragon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

JustBetter

Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Astral · 15 games
33%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
ThuG · 14 games
36%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Astral · 11 games
64%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
SsaSpartan · 11 games
36%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
Focus · 10 games
10%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
SsaSpartan · 8 games
13%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Astral · 8 games
25%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Astral · 8 games
38%

Dragon Esports

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 10 games
30%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
paw · 10 games
40%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
paw · 8 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
dualrazee · 8 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
dualrazee · 7 games
14%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Norma · 6 games
17%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
dualrazee · 6 games
33%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Norma · 6 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
403 picks · 415 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
402 picks · 899 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
395 picks · 301 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
387 picks · 803 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
349 picks · 537 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
344 picks · 688 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
338 picks · 478 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
315 picks · 382 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 29%
Hero pool strength52% Dragon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% JustBetter
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
JustBetter 64%Dragon Esports 36%
The model gave 64% on JustBetter — the game was taken by JustBetter.
Game 2prediction correct
JustBetter 64%Dragon Esports 36%
The model gave 64% on JustBetter — the game was taken by JustBetter.
Model check result
Model favoriteJustBetter · 64%
Series resultJustBetter 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2