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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 2:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AS Monaco Gambitloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Corrupted · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Munkushi~ · 3 games
67%
Riki
Riki
Hellscream · 3 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
smN · 3 games
67%
Bane
Bane
smN · 2 games
50%
Techies
Techies
Hellscream · 2 games
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Corrupted · 1 game
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Hellscream · 1 game
100%

AS Monaco Gambit

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
439 picks · 270 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
395 picks · 541 bans
55%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
314 picks · 593 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
314 picks · 407 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
305 picks · 345 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
286 picks · 454 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
274 picks · 390 bans
51%
Kunkka
Kunkka
264 picks · 482 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 71%
Hero pool strength54% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% AS Monaco Gambit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:21
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 38%AS Monaco Gambit 62%
The model gave 62% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 38:06.
Game 2prediction missed21:10
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 38%AS Monaco Gambit 62%
The model gave 62% on AS Monaco Gambit — the game was taken by KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI in 23:03.
Model check result
Model favoriteAS Monaco Gambit · 62%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2