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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rune Eaterswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI

Bane
Banesignature
smN · 15 games
87%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
75%
Sand King
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 8 games
63%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 7 games
86%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
smN · 7 games
57%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 6 games
83%
Mars
Marssignature
Corrupted · 6 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 6 games
83%

Rune Eaters

Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
434 picks · 275 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
423 picks · 568 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
384 picks · 448 bans
52%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
347 picks · 723 bans
54%
Sand King
Sand King
323 picks · 442 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
317 picks · 466 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
283 picks · 424 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
275 picks · 417 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 50%
Hero pool strength62% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed7:19
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 61%Rune Eaters 39%
The model gave 61% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 19:25.
Game 2prediction missed19:28
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 61%Rune Eaters 39%
The model gave 61% on KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 31:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 61%
Series resultRune Eaters 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2