Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionKCKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKIwin 1:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TTenualosaloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Banesignature
smN · 18 games
Phoenixsignature
Hellscream · 10 games
Sand Kingsignature
Corrupted · 10 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Corrupted · 9 games
Dark Willowsignature
Hellscream · 8 games
Chaos Knightsignature
Munkushi~ · 7 games
Skywrath Mage
Hellscream · 7 games
Treant Protector
smN · 7 games
Tenualosa
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
468 picks · 633 bans
Bane
454 picks · 281 bans
Tiny
445 picks · 492 bans
Sand King
400 picks · 530 bans
Death Prophet
359 picks · 791 bans
Storm Spirit
347 picks · 546 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 555 bans
Pangolier
335 picks · 509 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 40%
Hero pool strength59% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% KA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI · 74%
Series resultKA4KANARSKIE CYXARIKI 1:0
Series predictioncorrect