Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 2. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs predictionKKebab-enjoyersloss 0:1
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 0:1
PuckChampwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Kebab-enjoyers
No games played over 6 months.
PuckChamp
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
765 picks · 500 bans
Tiny
544 picks · 382 bans
Tusk
538 picks · 435 bans
Treant Protector
533 picks · 579 bans
Nature's Prophet
411 picks · 642 bans
Snapfire
394 picks · 277 bans
Death Prophet
382 picks · 700 bans
Ember Spirit
358 picks · 774 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Kebab-enjoyers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% PuckChamp
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Kebab-enjoyers 38%PuckChamp 62%
The model gave 62% on PuckChamp — the game was taken by PuckChamp.
Model check result
Model favoritePuckChamp · 62%
Series resultPuckChamp 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1