The International 10. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
King Of Kingswin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Inverseloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
King Of Kings
No games played over 6 months.
Inverse
Grimstroke
Slaw · 9 games
Ogre Magi
Slaw · 7 games
Death Prophetoften banned
ArzenT · 5 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Migi · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Migi · 3 games
Enigmaoften banned
ArzenT · 3 games
Gyrocopter
DM · 3 games
Juggernautoften banned
Parker · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
447 picks · 194 bans
Mars
391 picks · 581 bans
Puck
390 picks · 883 bans
Snapfire
372 picks · 206 bans
Grimstroke
346 picks · 323 bans
Tiny
326 picks · 235 bans
Centaur Warrunner
293 picks · 395 bans
Ancient Apparition
289 picks · 397 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% Inverse
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total58% King Of Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:35
King Of Kings 58%Inverse 42%
The model gave 58% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by Inverse in 28:17.
Game 2prediction missed10:32
King Of Kings 58%Inverse 42%
The model gave 58% on King Of Kings — the game was taken by Inverse in 22:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteKing Of Kings · 58%
Series resultKing Of Kings 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2