BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4loss 0:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Level UPwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Klim Sani4
Dark Willow
swedenstrong · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
mangekyou · 2 games
Kezoften banned
423 · 2 games
Lifestealeroften banned
423 · 2 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Squad1x · 2 games
Winter Wyvern
Rein · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
mangekyou · 1 game
Bounty Hunteroften banned
swedenstrong · 1 game
Level UP
Windranger
queezy · 21 game
Techiessignature
Htrd · 19 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Ainkrad · 18 games
Hoodwink
queezy · 17 games
Void Spirit
Ainkrad · 16 games
Undyingsignature
Htrd · 15 games
Tidehuntersignature
Bb3px · 13 games
Witch Doctorsignature
Htrd · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
489 picks · 331 bans
Bane
351 picks · 462 bans
Clockwerk
339 picks · 528 bans
Ember Spirit
323 picks · 503 bans
Shadow Fiend
316 picks · 651 bans
Tiny
290 picks · 319 bans
Windranger
274 picks · 200 bans
Rubick
260 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 66%
Hero pool strength52% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Level UP
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed2:0
Klim Sani4 49%Level UP 51%
The model gave 51% on Level UP — the game was taken by Klim Sani4 in 54:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
PuckSquad1x
SlardarBb3px
Kez423
Void SpiritAinkrad
Underlordmangekyou
AlchemistWoE
Rubickswedenstrong
Hoodwinkqueezy
Winter WyvernRein
Witch DoctorHtrd
Model check result
Model favoriteLevel UP · 51%
Series resultLevel UP 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 1