ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Klim Sani4win 2:1series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Team Kleeloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Klim Sani4
No games played over 6 months.
Team Klee
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
229 picks · 266 bans
Dark Willow
227 picks · 106 bans
Vengeful Spirit
223 picks · 271 bans
Pangolier
193 picks · 415 bans
Phoenix
193 picks · 251 bans
Treant Protector
190 picks · 411 bans
Earth Spirit
174 picks · 277 bans
Earthshaker
172 picks · 173 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Klim Sani4
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Team Klee
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:35
Klim Sani4 37%Team Klee 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 53:42.
Game 2prediction correct18:31
Klim Sani4 37%Team Klee 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 37:52.
Game 3prediction correct30:13
Klim Sani4 37%Team Klee 63%
The model gave 63% on Team Klee — the game was taken by Team Klee in 33:18.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Klee · 63%
Series resultKlim Sani4 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game3 of 3