Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionKKOwin 2:0
series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AGALL GOODloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
KO
No games played over 6 months.
ALL GOOD
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
594 picks · 363 bans
Phoenix
487 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
481 picks · 259 bans
Tiny
451 picks · 384 bans
Pangolier
400 picks · 549 bans
Puck
337 picks · 907 bans
Beastmaster
332 picks · 837 bans
Tusk
322 picks · 276 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% KO
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% KO
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
KO 59%ALL GOOD 41%
The model gave 59% on KO — the game was taken by KO.
Game 2prediction correct
KO 59%ALL GOOD 41%
The model gave 59% on KO — the game was taken by KO.
Model check result
Model favoriteKO · 59%
Series resultKO 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2