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Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Kukuyswin 2:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Trailer Park Boysloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Kukuys

Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Armel · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jing · 5 games
60%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jing · 4 games
25%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
0%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
Yowe · 3 games
67%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Gabbi · 3 games
33%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Yowe · 3 games
67%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Armel · 3 games
33%

Trailer Park Boys

Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
CHYuan · 4 games
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
NARMAN · 4 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
423 · 3 games
33%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
eleven · 3 games
67%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunter
NARMAN · 2 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
CHYuan · 2 games
50%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Se · 2 games
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
eleven · 2 games
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
482 picks · 447 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
473 picks · 554 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
444 picks · 227 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
348 picks · 683 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
311 picks · 465 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
300 picks · 697 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
298 picks · 247 bans
46%
Windranger
Windranger
288 picks · 88 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength52% Trailer Park Boys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Trailer Park Boys
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:34
Kukuys 49%Trailer Park Boys 51%
The model gave 51% on Trailer Park Boys — the game was taken by Trailer Park Boys in 34:28.
Game 2prediction missed39:25
Kukuys 49%Trailer Park Boys 51%
The model gave 51% on Trailer Park Boys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 41:47.
Game 3prediction missed27:12
Kukuys 49%Trailer Park Boys 51%
The model gave 51% on Trailer Park Boys — the game was taken by Kukuys in 33:30.
Model check result
Model favoriteTrailer Park Boys · 51%
Series resultKukuys 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3