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BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
HULIGANIwin 2:1
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Chimera Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

HULIGANI

Arc Warden
Arc Warden
kiyotaka · 1 game
100%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
kasane · 1 game
100%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Immersion · 1 game
100%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
RodjER · 1 game
100%
Luna
Luna
RAMZES666 · 1 game
100%

Chimera Esports

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 1 game
100%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Bb3px · 1 game
100%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
re1bl · 1 game
100%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Chuvash · 1 game
100%
Windranger
Windranger
Nande · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
252 picks · 428 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
219 picks · 349 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
204 picks · 277 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
204 picks · 97 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
204 picks · 191 bans
46%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
188 picks · 358 bans
54%
Kunkka
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct48:33
HULIGANI 64%Chimera Esports 36%
The model gave 64% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 52:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeRAMZES666
55% · 101 game53% · 56 games
RazorNande
Razor
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
57% · 81 game54% · 21 game
Outworld Destroyerre1bl
Outworld Destroyer
Beastmaster
Beastmasterkasane
53% · 111 games40% · 105 games
Centaur WarrunnerBb3px
Centaur Warrunner
Pugna
PugnaRodjER
57% · 75 games49% · 144 games
Dark WillowOneJey
Dark Willow
Lion
LionImmersion
45% · 51 game42% · 93 games
IoChuvash
Io
Game 2prediction missed10:42
HULIGANI 62%Chimera Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 31:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tinker
Tinkerkiyotaka
56% · 5 games60% · 35 games
ClinkzNande
Clinkz
Beastmaster
Beastmasterkasane
49% · 140 games63% · 11 games
Meepore1bl
Meepo
Windranger
WindrangerRAMZES666
56% · 40 games50% · 28 games
PudgeBb3px
Pudge
Pugna
PugnaImmersion
49% · 79 games44% · 82 games
Dark WillowOneJey
Dark Willow
Shadow Shaman
Shadow ShamanRodjER
53% · 9 games44% · 117 games
PhoenixChuvash
Phoenix
Game 3prediction correct26:10
HULIGANI 62%Chimera Esports 38%
The model gave 62% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 33:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
Meepokiyotaka
55% · 15 games57% · 56 games
LunaNande
Luna
Weaver
WeaverRAMZES666
48% · 43 games42% · 8 games
Huskarre1bl
Huskar
Visage
Visagekasane
48% · 34 games57% · 90 games
TimbersawBb3px
Timbersaw
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenRodjER
40% · 49 games52% · 55 games
LionOneJey
Lion
Tusk
TuskImmersion
43% · 92 games56% · 24 games
Elder TitanChuvash
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 74%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3