Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
HULIGANI
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 41 game
Slardaroften banned
Bb3px · 39 games
Hoodwink
sayuw · 38 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 35 games
Tiny
erase · 32 games
Phoenixoften banned
RESPECT · 31 game
Pucksignature
Mirage · 31 game
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 30 games
Enjoy Boys
Bane
Rein · 2 games
Enchantress
swedenstrong · 2 games
Lich
Rein · 2 games
Rubick
swedenstrong · 2 games
Snapfireoften banned
Squad1x · 2 games
Alchemistoften banned
v1olent- · 1 game
Axe
мистер мораль · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
мистер мораль · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
600 picks · 368 bans
Phoenix
492 picks · 579 bans
Rubick
490 picks · 263 bans
Tiny
458 picks · 386 bans
Pangolier
403 picks · 556 bans
Puck
338 picks · 917 bans
Beastmaster
336 picks · 849 bans
Tusk
326 picks · 277 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 41%
Hero pool strength58% HULIGANI
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total55% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:14
HULIGANI 54%Enjoy Boys 46%
The model gave 54% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 41:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophetssnovv1
Drow Rangerv1olent-
Storm SpiritMirage
ViperSquad1x
BatriderCorrupted
Doomмистер мораль
ClockwerkRESPECT
Windrangerswedenstrong
Largosayuw
DisruptorRein
Game 2prediction missed16:30
HULIGANI 56%Enjoy Boys 44%
The model gave 56% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Enjoy Boys in 37:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Rangerssnovv1
Phantom Lancerv1olent-
LargoCorrupted
PuckSquad1x
HuskarMirage
Axeмистер мораль
BatriderRESPECT
Techiesswedenstrong
Lionsayuw
Treant ProtectorRein
Game 3prediction correct37:39
HULIGANI 56%Enjoy Boys 44%
The model gave 56% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 1:17:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Rangerssnovv1
Ember SpiritSquad1x
Storm SpiritMirage
Kezv1olent-
Primal BeastCorrupted
Techiesswedenstrong
BaneRESPECT
Axeмистер мораль
Miranasayuw
Witch DoctorRein
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 55%
Series resultHULIGANI 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3