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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Западная Европа. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
LeClassique 2.0win 2:0
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Partizanailoss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LeClassique 2.0

No games played over 6 months.

Partizanai

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
343 picks · 303 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
280 picks · 252 bans
57%
Marci
Marci
273 picks · 524 bans
55%
Undying
Undying
253 picks · 454 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
237 picks · 509 bans
53%
Primal Beast
Primal Beast
221 picks · 547 bans
53%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
214 picks · 317 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
204 picks · 116 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% LeClassique 2.0
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Partizanai
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
LeClassique 2.0 36%Partizanai 64%
The model gave 64% on Partizanai — the game was taken by LeClassique 2.0.
Game 2prediction missed
LeClassique 2.0 36%Partizanai 64%
The model gave 64% on Partizanai — the game was taken by LeClassique 2.0.
Model check result
Model favoritePartizanai · 64%
Series resultLeClassique 2.0 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2