ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Invictus Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Pucksignature
NothingToSay · 22 games
Elder Titansignature
y` · 18 games
Tusksignature
XinQ · 18 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Ame · 16 games
Void Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 15 games
Troll Warlordsignature
Ame · 14 games
Death Prophetsignature
NothingToSay · 13 games
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 13 games
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
460 picks · 1021 bans
Void Spirit
429 picks · 618 bans
Mars
374 picks · 663 bans
Death Prophet
351 picks · 656 bans
Earth Spirit
338 picks · 291 bans
Phoenix
277 picks · 388 bans
Monkey King
269 picks · 847 bans
Wraith King
265 picks · 437 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 68%
Hero pool strength62% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total56% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:36
LGD Gaming 56%Invictus Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 44:30.
Game 2prediction correct28:12
LGD Gaming 56%Invictus Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 32:47.
Game 3prediction missed40:43
LGD Gaming 56%Invictus Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Invictus Gaming in 1:00:35.
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 56%
Series resultInvictus Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3