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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MOUZloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 17 games
71%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 16 games
69%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 15 games
67%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 10 games
70%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 10 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
TaiLung · 9 games
67%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Wisper · 9 games
56%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 8 games
75%

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusk
yamich · 31 game
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Crystallis · 26 games
54%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Crystallis · 23 games
39%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
yamich · 21 game
62%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
BOOM · 20 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
MidOne · 20 games
50%
Batrider
Batridersignature
BOOM · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Seleri · 18 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
575 picks · 405 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
490 picks · 289 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
402 picks · 386 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
362 picks · 491 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
341 picks · 631 bans
56%
Phoenix
Phoenix
333 picks · 315 bans
48%
Windranger
Windranger
331 picks · 236 bans
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
312 picks · 464 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 32%
Hero pool strength60% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:11
LGD Gaming 69%MOUZ 31%
The model gave 69% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 34:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer
Dark SeerWisper
52% · 69 games64% · 38 games
Lone DruidCrystallis
Lone Druid
Ursa
UrsaYuma
49% · 259 games49% · 58 games
SniperMidOne
Sniper
Huskar
HuskarTaiLung
54% · 158 games46% · 145 games
UnderlordBOOM
Underlord
Clockwerk
ClockwerkThiolicor
49% · 188 games49% · 251 game
Tuskyamich
Tusk
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKJ
46% · 39 games47% · 221 game
JakiroPanto
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct39:39
LGD Gaming 71%MOUZ 29%
The model gave 71% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 1:03:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckTaiLung
50% · 361 game41% · 417 games
PangolierMidOne
Pangolier
Lone Druid
Lone DruidYuma
62% · 47 games51% · 369 games
Centaur WarrunnerBOOM
Centaur Warrunner
Largo
LargoWisper
54% · 134 games45% · 250 games
Monkey KingCrystallis
Monkey King
Hoodwink
HoodwinkThiolicor
49% · 510 games56% · 194 games
Keeper of the LightPanto
Keeper of the Light
Disruptor
DisruptorKJ
50% · 274 games47% · 96 games
Grimstrokeyamich
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 82%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2