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The International 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Vici Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 29 games
66%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
KJ · 22 games
55%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 18 games
61%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
Yuma · 13 games
54%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 13 games
69%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wisper · 12 games
58%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Wisper · 12 games
58%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Wisper · 12 games
58%

Vici Gaming

Windranger
Windranger
shiro · 31 game
52%
Tiny
Tinysignature
shiro · 25 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 24 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
XinQ · 24 games
58%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
shiro · 18 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 17 games
41%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
67%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Xm · 15 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
513 picks · 361 bans
51%
Bane
Bane
359 picks · 432 bans
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
348 picks · 619 bans
51%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 481 bans
56%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
317 picks · 610 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
311 picks · 346 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
304 picks · 166 bans
50%
Windranger
Windranger
304 picks · 219 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 51%
Hero pool strength52% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:18
LGD Gaming 53%Vici Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 53:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosYuma
50% · 82 games50% · 79 games
Dark SeerFaith_bian
Dark Seer
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordTopson
40% · 60 games54% · 92 games
Lifestealershiro
Lifestealer
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerWisper
53% · 336 games53% · 260 games
Ember SpiritXm
Ember Spirit
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightThiolicor
52% · 153 games42% · 70 games
MiranaXinQ
Mirana
Oracle
OracleKJ
49% · 23 games52% · 153 games
Baney`
Bane
Game 2prediction correct34:26
LGD Gaming 55%Vici Gaming 45%
The model gave 55% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 52:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerWisper
45% · 122 games46% · 33 games
Ioshiro
Io
Invoker
InvokerTopson
55% · 166 games47% · 136 games
Sand KingXm
Sand King
Lifestealer
LifestealerYuma
49% · 101 game52% · 78 games
EnigmaFaith_bian
Enigma
Mirana
MiranaKJ
57% · 121 game49% · 462 games
HoodwinkXinQ
Hoodwink
Tusk
TuskThiolicor
51% · 374 games49% · 175 games
Largoy`
Largo
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 57%
Series resultLGD Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2