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BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 0:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Omega Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Lilgun

No games played over 6 months.

Omega Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
Mac · 15 games
60%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
cml · 13 games
69%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Sam_H · 10 games
60%
Tiny
Tiny
Tino- · 10 games
50%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mac · 9 games
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
Tino- · 8 games
63%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Mac · 8 games
63%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
cml · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
Puck
388 picks · 985 bans
49%
Lion
Lion
374 picks · 194 bans
47%
Mars
Mars
366 picks · 597 bans
54%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
354 picks · 364 bans
49%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
302 picks · 656 bans
52%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
293 picks · 481 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
291 picks · 225 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
289 picks · 165 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% Omega Esports
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total72% Omega Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteOmega Esports · 72%
Series resultOmega Esports 0:2
Series predictioncorrect