The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Lindorfitosloss 0:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Red Hot Chili Pibblewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lindorfitos
Treant Protectoroften banned
StingeR · 3 games
Kezoften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
Necrophosoften banned
DaaD- · 2 games
Crystal Maiden
StingeR · 1 game
Juggernaut
DaaD- · 1 game
Lich
StingeR · 1 game
Nature's Prophetoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
Rubick
StingeR · 1 game
Red Hot Chili Pibble
Disruptor
Prada · 3 games
Rubick
Alone · 3 games
Snapfireoften banned
Alone · 3 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 2 games
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Mnz · 2 games
Bane
Prada · 1 game
Hoodwink
Mjz · 1 game
Luna
Mnz · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
634 picks · 436 bans
Rubick
569 picks · 316 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 585 bans
Tiny
454 picks · 390 bans
Pangolier
442 picks · 655 bans
Ember Spirit
352 picks · 529 bans
Puck
348 picks · 1033 bans
Tusk
345 picks · 297 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Red Hot Chili Pibble
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Lindorfitos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:40
Lindorfitos 61%Red Hot Chili Pibble 39%
The model gave 61% on Lindorfitos — the game was taken by Red Hot Chili Pibble in 25:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidDaaD-
TinyMnz
EnchantressStingeR
ViperAlone
57% · 51 game
Keeper of the LightMjz
47% · 73 games
DisruptorPrada
Game 2prediction missed22:41
Lindorfitos 60%Red Hot Chili Pibble 40%
The model gave 60% on Lindorfitos — the game was taken by Red Hot Chili Pibble in 38:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
KezDaaD-
Drow RangerMnz
SilencerStingeR
RubickAlone
43% · 40 games
TechiesPrada
61% · 35 games
Treant ProtectorMjz
Model check result
Model favoriteLindorfitos · 74%
Series resultRed Hot Chili Pibble 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2