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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO3
result vs prediction
Looking for Orgloss 0:2
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Looking for Org

Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 21 game
48%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 16 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 14 games
57%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 13 games
46%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Yadomi · 13 games
62%
Luna
Lunasignature
Mnz · 12 games
67%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Sacred · 11 games
55%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Yadomi · 10 games
40%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 25 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
52%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 18 games
61%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 17 games
59%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 17 games
35%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 16 games
63%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 16 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
394 picks · 506 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
369 picks · 360 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
322 picks · 464 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
308 picks · 361 bans
55%
Enchantress
Enchantress
300 picks · 582 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
260 picks · 145 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
258 picks · 258 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
256 picks · 126 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:26
Looking for Org 35%BETBOOM TEAM 65%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 31:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendpayk
47% · 115 games47% · 208 games
Templar AssassinPure~
Templar Assassin
Timbersaw
TimbersawSacred
51% · 192 games50% · 128 games
Magnuskiyotaka
Magnus
Pangolier
PangolierDarkMago
49% · 340 games51% · 57 games
DawnbreakerMieRo
Dawnbreaker
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinMatthew
61% · 59 games54% · 259 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Clockwerk
ClockwerkYadomi
50% · 240 games42% · 294 games
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct18:38
Looking for Org 35%BETBOOM TEAM 65%
The model gave 65% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendpayk
49% · 119 games49% · 283 games
Dragon KnightPure~
Dragon Knight
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritDarkMago
52% · 166 games49% · 58 games
DawnbreakerMieRo
Dawnbreaker
Pangolier
PangolierSacred
50% · 293 games51% · 159 games
Monkey Kingkiyotaka
Monkey King
Magnus
MagnusYadomi
53% · 103 games47% · 347 games
BatriderSave-
Batrider
Lion
LionMatthew
51% · 182 games45% · 16 games
WarlockKataomi
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 79%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2