Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Западная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Luna Galaxyloss 0:2series probability
5%95%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Luna Galaxy
Rubicksignature
Thiolicor · 18 games
Disruptor
Xakoda · 11 games
Miranasignature
Thiolicor · 11 games
Timbersawoften banned
Davai · 11 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Adzantick · 10 games
Tiny
Thiolicor · 10 games
Clockwerksignature
Thiolicor · 9 games
Death Prophetsignature
Davai · 8 games
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 45 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 36 games
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 29 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 27 games
Doomsignature
Ace · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 25 games
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 24 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
707 picks · 606 bans
Disruptor
577 picks · 503 bans
Beastmaster
478 picks · 1167 bans
Doom
472 picks · 881 bans
Ember Spirit
426 picks · 1074 bans
Pangolier
406 picks · 863 bans
Mirana
399 picks · 216 bans
Enchantress
397 picks · 571 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 67%
Hero pool strength57% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total95% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Luna Galaxy 5%Gaimin Gladiators 95%
The model gave 95% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators.
Game 2prediction correct
Luna Galaxy 5%Gaimin Gladiators 95%
The model gave 95% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators.
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 95%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2