Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Made in Philippines
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ken · 4 games
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Rupido · 3 games
Bane
Teehee · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Rupido · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Rupido · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
JG · 2 games
Puckoften banned
JG · 2 games
Baby Build House
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
504 picks · 452 bans
Mars
496 picks · 693 bans
Bane
463 picks · 288 bans
Dragon Knight
432 picks · 533 bans
Sand King
403 picks · 553 bans
Storm Spirit
401 picks · 638 bans
Pangolier
375 picks · 626 bans
Grimstroke
360 picks · 320 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Made in Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Baby Build House
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:17
Made in Philippines 48%Baby Build House 52%
The model gave 52% on Baby Build House — the game was taken by Made in Philippines in 29:47.
Game 2prediction missed4:25
Made in Philippines 48%Baby Build House 52%
The model gave 52% on Baby Build House — the game was taken by Made in Philippines in 31:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteBaby Build House · 52%
Series resultMade in Philippines 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2