BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
MANTA Esportsloss 1:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Yangon Galacticoswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MANTA Esports
Marsoften banned
Kimizu · 2 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
Timbersawoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 5 games
Troll Warlordoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
Morphlingoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Leshracoften banned
Young PH · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
361 picks · 348 bans
Hoodwink
356 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
318 picks · 511 bans
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
Snapfire
279 picks · 252 bans
Windranger
273 picks · 352 bans
Phoenix
270 picks · 473 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength55% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:33
MANTA Esports 31%Yangon Galacticos 69%
The model gave 69% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 39:46.
Game 2prediction missed36:14
MANTA Esports 31%Yangon Galacticos 69%
The model gave 69% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by MANTA Esports in 38:38.
Game 3prediction correct14:38
MANTA Esports 31%Yangon Galacticos 69%
The model gave 69% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 32:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 69%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3