?
arrow_backBack to match
Elite League. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Midas Clubwin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
x5 Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Midas Club

Mirana
Mirana
Hyko · 3 games
0%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
FCR · 2 games
100%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
4dr · 2 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Hyko · 2 games
50%
Zeus
Zeusoften banned
4dr · 2 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Wij · 1 game
0%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Wij · 1 game
0%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Wij · 1 game
100%

x5 Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Luis · 2 games
50%
Lifestealer
Lifestealeroften banned
Rises · 2 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Luis · 1 game
100%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Hermit · 1 game
0%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Hermit · 1 game
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Hermit · 1 game
100%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Luis · 1 game
0%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Luis · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
384 picks · 353 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
351 picks · 559 bans
57%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
344 picks · 337 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
342 picks · 511 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
326 picks · 255 bans
52%
Batrider
Batrider
316 picks · 621 bans
58%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
310 picks · 184 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
297 picks · 284 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 56%
Hero pool strength50% x5 Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Midas Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct50:19
Midas Club 53%x5 Gaming 47%
The model gave 53% on Midas Club — the game was taken by Midas Club in 35:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Pangolier
Pangolier4dr
48% · 138 games48% · 87 games
LifestealerRises
Lifestealer
Night Stalker
Night StalkerFCR
47% · 25 games42% · 88 games
BrewmasterHermit
Brewmaster
Slark
SlarkCostabile
54% · 70 games60% · 240 games
MiranaLuis
Mirana
Techies
TechiesHyko
48% · 111 games
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenWij
49% · 71 game
Game 2prediction correct
Midas Club 56%x5 Gaming 44%
The model gave 56% on Midas Club — the game was taken by Midas Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteMidas Club · 56%
Series resultMidas Club 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2