?
arrow_backBack to match
CCT Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
Monteloss 1:2
series probability
28%72%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Teawin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Monte

Dark Willow
Dark Willowoften banned
QBFY · 11 games
45%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
QBFY · 9 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
QBFY · 9 games
56%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Infernal · 8 games
25%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 8 games
38%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
QBFY · 8 games
38%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Moonlight · 8 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
QBFY · 8 games
25%

Team Tea

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
419 picks · 612 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
371 picks · 383 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
359 picks · 469 bans
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
358 picks · 148 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 575 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
317 picks · 669 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
317 picks · 155 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
315 picks · 439 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Team Tea
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:14
Monte 28%Team Tea 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Monte in 45:22.
Game 2prediction correct26:26
Monte 28%Team Tea 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 43:52.
Game 3prediction correct11:29
Monte 28%Team Tea 72%
The model gave 72% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 25:38.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 72%
Series resultTeam Tea 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3