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BLAST Slam V · BO1
result vs prediction
MOUZwin 1:0
series probability
93%7%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Tearlamentsloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 54 games
70%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 45 games
53%
Pudge
Pudge
yamich · 41 game
59%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
MidOne · 33 games
67%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 32 games
75%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
MidOne · 31 game
65%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
BOOM · 31 game
71%
Mars
Marssignature
BOOM · 30 games
67%

Tearlaments

Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
7e · 18 games
72%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
7e · 15 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Srf · 13 games
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Srf · 12 games
42%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Echo · 12 games
58%
Snapfire
Snapfire
7e · 11 games
55%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
poyoyo · 9 games
33%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
poyoyo · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
780 picks · 357 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
583 picks · 583 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
571 picks · 300 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
481 picks · 305 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
475 picks · 561 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
469 picks · 269 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
459 picks · 749 bans
51%
Puck
Puck
437 picks · 1113 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)68% vs 52%
Hero pool strength54% MOUZ
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total93% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:25
MOUZ 80%Tearlaments 20%
The model gave 80% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 31:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightCrystallis
46% · 437 games52% · 391 game
Gyrocopterpoyoyo
Gyrocopter
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritMidOne
47% · 385 games52% · 235 games
DoomSrf
Doom
Tidehunter
TidehunterBOOM
52% · 177 games51% · 370 games
Nature's Prophet7e
Nature's Prophet
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
47% · 227 games58% · 416 games
BatriderTK
Batrider
Tusk
Tuskyamich
48% · 447 games47% · 261 game
Clockwerkzzq
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 93%
Series resultMOUZ 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1