BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO1
result vs prediction
MUSIC HALLloss 0:1series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:1
IVPGGwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MUSIC HALL
No games played over 6 months.
IVPGG
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
506 picks · 682 bans
Muerta
477 picks · 408 bans
Clockwerk
470 picks · 569 bans
Batrider
468 picks · 596 bans
Tiny
452 picks · 534 bans
Gyrocopter
435 picks · 798 bans
Magnus
422 picks · 946 bans
Lion
399 picks · 233 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% MUSIC HALL
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% IVPGG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:36
MUSIC HALL 32%IVPGG 68%
The model gave 68% on IVPGG — the game was taken by IVPGG in 37:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteIVPGG · 68%
Series resultIVPGG 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1