Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Мьянмаwin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Новая Зеландияloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Мьянма
No games played over 6 months.
Новая Зеландия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
632 picks · 444 bans
Rubick
598 picks · 339 bans
Pangolier
436 picks · 642 bans
Phoenix
423 picks · 488 bans
Tiny
397 picks · 357 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 382 bans
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 496 bans
Puck
317 picks · 977 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Мьянма
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Мьянма
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Мьянма 64%Новая Зеландия 36%
The model gave 64% on Мьянма — the game was taken by Мьянма.
Game 2prediction correct
Мьянма 64%Новая Зеландия 36%
The model gave 64% on Мьянма — the game was taken by Мьянма.
Model check result
Model favoriteМьянма · 64%
Series resultМьянма 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2