IESF World Esports Championship 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
Мьянмаloss 1:2series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Турцияwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Мьянма
No games played over 6 months.
Турция
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
477 picks · 652 bans
Clockwerk
412 picks · 455 bans
Pangolier
350 picks · 517 bans
Luna
348 picks · 435 bans
Enchantress
320 picks · 644 bans
Dark Willow
319 picks · 171 bans
Dragon Knight
317 picks · 389 bans
Batrider
292 picks · 302 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 57%
Hero pool strength50% Мьянма
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total63% Мьянма
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct45:20
Мьянма 63%Турция 37%
The model gave 63% on Мьянма — the game was taken by Мьянма in 34:46.
Game 2prediction missed27:45
Мьянма 63%Турция 37%
The model gave 63% on Мьянма — the game was taken by Турция in 43:37.
Game 3prediction missed21:37
Мьянма 63%Турция 37%
The model gave 63% on Мьянма — the game was taken by Турция in 41:50.
Model check result
Model favoriteМьянма · 63%
Series resultТурция 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3