Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionNPNA promisesloss 0:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
MMoneyfestwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NA promises
No games played over 6 months.
Moneyfest
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 541 bans
Ringmaster
443 picks · 222 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 669 bans
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 455 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 686 bans
Tusk
294 picks · 241 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% NA promises
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% NA promises
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:34
NA promises 50%Moneyfest 50%
The model gave 50% on NA promises — the game was taken by Moneyfest in 29:57.
Model check result
Model favoriteNA promises · 50%
Series resultMoneyfest 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1