RES Regional Series: EU #1 · BO2
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 1:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Dandelionsloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Natus Vincere Junior
Snapfire
Daze · 27 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Riddys · 23 games
Lion
Riddys · 21 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pma · 18 games
Morphlingoften banned
gotthejuice · 17 games
Faceless Voidsignature
gotthejuice · 15 games
Pugna
Riddys · 15 games
Marcisignature
Daze · 13 games
Dandelions
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
381 picks · 352 bans
Vengeful Spirit
339 picks · 334 bans
Centaur Warrunner
319 picks · 526 bans
Mars
315 picks · 467 bans
Techies
306 picks · 236 bans
Batrider
294 picks · 554 bans
Hoodwink
294 picks · 175 bans
Tiny
281 picks · 244 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% Dandelions
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:23
Natus Vincere Junior 52%Dandelions 48%
The model gave 52% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Dandelions in 34:24.
Game 2prediction correct41:28
Natus Vincere Junior 52%Dandelions 48%
The model gave 52% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 45:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2