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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:1
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Spirit Academywin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere Junior

Snapfire
Snapfire
Gothic- · 11 games
27%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
Gothic- · 9 games
22%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Hyugadoto · 8 games
13%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Gothic- · 8 games
13%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 8 games
13%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gbc · 7 games
0%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Hyugadoto · 7 games
0%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gbc · 7 games
14%

Team Spirit Academy

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Aidar · 12 games
17%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Aidar · 12 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
rubikon155 · 9 games
56%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
SunshineRR · 9 games
44%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
SunshineRR · 8 games
25%
Techies
Techies
Aidar · 8 games
50%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
rubikon155 · 7 games
29%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
SunshineRR · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
558 picks · 737 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
499 picks · 353 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
472 picks · 645 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
446 picks · 547 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
377 picks · 630 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 545 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
362 picks · 173 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
360 picks · 119 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)24% vs 41%
Hero pool strength59% Team Spirit Academy
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Team Spirit Academy
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct6:18
Natus Vincere Junior 40%Team Spirit Academy 60%
The model gave 60% on Team Spirit Academy — the game was taken by Team Spirit Academy in 22:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tinker
Tinkergbc
49% · 72 games51% · 218 games
Batriderrubikon155
Batrider
Timbersaw
Timbersawkrol9ash
52% · 215 games46% · 146 games
Leshrac86
Leshrac
Weaver
WeaverStoneBank
44% · 89 games58% · 64 games
EnigmaSunshineRR
Enigma
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerGothic-
45% · 47 games49% · 222 games
TinyAidar
Tiny
Disruptor
DisruptorHyugadoto
49% · 244 games66% · 17 games
Iokyford
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit Academy · 64%
Series resultTeam Spirit Academy 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1