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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yellow Submarineloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere Junior

Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Niku · 28 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Niku · 27 games
41%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 26 games
54%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Riddys · 24 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gotthejuice · 21 game
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Riddys · 21 game
43%
Earthshaker
Earthshakersignature
Zayac · 20 games
60%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
gotthejuice · 20 games
60%

Yellow Submarine

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
mrls · 9 games
44%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
re1bl · 9 games
56%
Muerta
Muertasignature
mrls · 8 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
mrls · 6 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
33%
Lion
Lion
mrls · 6 games
33%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ififall · 6 games
33%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Htrd · 5 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
546 picks · 616 bans
51%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
476 picks · 240 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
465 picks · 432 bans
49%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
387 picks · 804 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
359 picks · 534 bans
52%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
356 picks · 804 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
346 picks · 306 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
337 picks · 384 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 56%
Hero pool strength54% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:9
Natus Vincere Junior 73%Yellow Submarine 27%
The model gave 73% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 32:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
Lifestealergotthejuice
56% · 148 games53% · 373 games
Tinybottega
Tiny
Puck
PuckNiku
49% · 238 games49% · 204 games
Ember SpiritMirele
Ember Spirit
Axe
Axepma
40% · 62 games53% · 186 games
MagnusInfernal
Magnus
Batrider
BatriderZayac
42% · 389 games52% · 205 games
Dark Willowlupsione
Dark Willow
Ringmaster
RingmasterRiddys
52% · 173 games55% · 42 games
UndyingXakoda
Undying
Game 2prediction correct39:20
Natus Vincere Junior 73%Yellow Submarine 27%
The model gave 73% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 40:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
Doomgotthejuice
60% · 195 games46% · 153 games
Svenbottega
Sven
Monkey King
Monkey KingNiku
53% · 221 game47% · 518 games
TinyMirele
Tiny
Pangolier
Pangolierpma
47% · 375 games52% · 181 game
Nature's Prophetlupsione
Nature's Prophet
Warlock
WarlockRiddys
56% · 181 game49% · 23 games
AxeInfernal
Axe
Riki
RikiZayac
54% · 68 games40% · 165 games
RingmasterXakoda
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 86%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2