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PGL Wallachia Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincereloss 0:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere

Warlock
Warlock
Riddys · 36 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Riddys · 27 games
59%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Riddys · 24 games
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pma · 23 games
52%
Bane
Banesignature
Zayac · 21 game
81%
Mars
Marsoften banned
pma · 21 game
52%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
pma · 20 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gotthejuice · 20 games
55%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 42 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 40 games
63%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 31 game
61%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 26 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 23 games
48%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
78%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
602 picks · 899 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
490 picks · 524 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
470 picks · 418 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
442 picks · 299 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
412 picks · 1053 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
396 picks · 673 bans
60%
Mars
Mars
388 picks · 584 bans
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
385 picks · 573 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 4
Model total52% Natus Vincere
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed2:29
Natus Vincere 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on Natus Vincere — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
Svengotthejuice
45% · 231 game49% · 217 games
UrsaKiritych
Ursa
Puck
PuckNiku
49% · 624 games53% · 332 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Mars
Marspma
46% · 505 games54% · 360 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionRiddys
50% · 236 games52% · 302 games
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritZayac
50% · 54 games51% · 439 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed5:30
Natus Vincere 51%BETBOOM TEAM 49%
The model gave 51% on Natus Vincere — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNiku
49% · 538 games52% · 304 games
UrsaKiritych
Ursa
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordgotthejuice
50% · 198 games55% · 468 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Mars
Marspma
43% · 469 games52% · 341 game
SlardarMieRo
Slardar
Jakiro
JakiroRiddys
47% · 760 games51% · 540 games
WarlockKataomi
Warlock
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinZayac
47% · 98 games55% · 410 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 52%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2