Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincereloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Natus Vincere
Grimstroke
ALOHADANCE · 13 games
Spirit Breakersignature
GeneRaL · 13 games
Silencersignature
Solo · 12 games
Weaversignature
ALOHADANCE · 10 games
Queen of Painoften banned
No[o]ne · 9 games
Abaddon
Solo · 8 games
Puckoften banned
No[o]ne · 8 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
V-Tune · 8 games
Nemiga Gaming
Marsoften banned
TheChosenOne · 26 games
Dark Willow
Heaven · 24 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Kiritych · 24 games
Shadow Demon
Heaven · 24 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Heaven · 21 game
Nyx Assassinsignature
VANSKOR · 20 games
Rubick
Heaven · 20 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ainkrad · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 379 bans
Mars
450 picks · 655 bans
Queen of Pain
440 picks · 533 bans
Weaver
427 picks · 844 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
338 picks · 536 bans
Kunkka
333 picks · 538 bans
Wraith King
274 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% Natus Vincere
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Natus Vincere
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:44
Natus Vincere 51%Nemiga Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Natus Vincere — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 1:00:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
TinkerAinkrad
Phantom AssassinV-Tune
KunkkaKiritych
WeaverALOHADANCE
BloodseekerTheChosenOne
TidehunterGeneRaL
RubickHeaven
Shadow DemonSolo
DisruptorLodine
Game 2prediction missed20:50
Natus Vincere 52%Nemiga Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Natus Vincere — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 41:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Wraith KingV-Tune
KunkkaKiritych
Nature's ProphetGeneRaL
PuckAinkrad
Queen of PainNo[o]ne
MarsTheChosenOne
Spirit BreakerSolo
Dark WillowHeaven
Nyx AssassinALOHADANCE
Shadow DemonLodine
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 52%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2