The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 2:0series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FTfarsh teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Jakiro
monodrama · 9 games
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
спортик · 7 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 6 games
Centaur Warrunner
Covisnine · 5 games
Earthshaker
спортик · 5 games
Muerta
Shishak · 5 games
Earth Spirit
спортик · 4 games
farsh team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
471 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
444 picks · 499 bans
Ringmaster
433 picks · 208 bans
Terrorblade
333 picks · 583 bans
Storm Spirit
292 picks · 402 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 613 bans
Tusk
277 picks · 186 bans
Windranger
264 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 50%
Hero pool strength58% farsh team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:3
Nemiga Gaming 71%farsh team 29%
The model gave 71% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 8:08.
Game 2prediction correct11:40
Nemiga Gaming 71%farsh team 29%
The model gave 71% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 19:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 71%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2