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CCT Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Level UPwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nemiga Gaming

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
aik · 21 game
62%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Lukas · 17 games
65%
Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 17 games
35%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
queezy · 17 games
59%
Batrider
Batridersignature
jesv · 15 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
nicky`cool · 13 games
31%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
MikSa` · 12 games
50%
Sven
Svenoften banned
Lowskill · 11 games
45%

Level UP

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
SsaSpartan · 6 games
0%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Jeezy · 6 games
17%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
xsvampire · 5 games
40%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
ififall · 5 games
0%
Rubick
Rubick
Jeezy · 5 games
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Jeezy · 5 games
20%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
ififall · 4 games
25%
Doom
Doomoften banned
ififall · 4 games
25%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
347 picks · 295 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
332 picks · 436 bans
49%
Jakiro
Jakiro
330 picks · 253 bans
45%
Enchantress
Enchantress
316 picks · 538 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
299 picks · 286 bans
51%
Windranger
Windranger
296 picks · 415 bans
52%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
294 picks · 472 bans
45%
Sand King
Sand King
294 picks · 796 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)23% vs 33%
Hero pool strength61% Nemiga Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total66% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 66%Level UP 34%
The model gave 66% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Level UP.
Game 2prediction correct
Nemiga Gaming 66%Level UP 34%
The model gave 66% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Game 3prediction missed
Nemiga Gaming 66%Level UP 34%
The model gave 66% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Level UP.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 66%
Series resultLevel UP 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3