Riyadh Masters 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Nemiga Gamingwin 1:0series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TVTroll vs Elvesloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nemiga Gaming
Jakiro
monodrama · 9 games
Sand Kingoften banned
спортик · 8 games
Tinyoften banned
спортик · 8 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Covisnine · 6 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
bashka · 6 games
Earthshaker
спортик · 5 games
Muerta
Shishak · 5 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
bashka · 4 games
Troll vs Elves
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
470 picks · 543 bans
Ringmaster
442 picks · 222 bans
Terrorblade
345 picks · 657 bans
Storm Spirit
306 picks · 453 bans
Ancient Apparition
297 picks · 677 bans
Tusk
289 picks · 230 bans
Windranger
283 picks · 85 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Troll vs Elves
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total77% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct38:20
Nemiga Gaming 77%Troll vs Elves 23%
The model gave 77% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming in 33:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 77%
Series resultNemiga Gaming 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1