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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Army Geniusesloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 28 games
61%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 28 games
61%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 24 games
54%
Sand King
Sand King
Yopaj · 22 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 20 games
55%
Lion
Lion
Jaunuel · 15 games
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Jaunuel · 13 games
54%

Army Geniuses

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Lym- · 14 games
64%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
woMy · 11 games
55%
Mirana
Mirana
Lym- · 9 games
44%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 8 games
38%
Axe
Axeoften banned
db- · 7 games
57%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
woMy · 7 games
29%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
db- · 7 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
MamangDaya · 6 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
432 picks · 171 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
312 picks · 476 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
309 picks · 622 bans
54%
Puck
Puck
305 picks · 688 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
288 picks · 119 bans
49%
Mars
Mars
287 picks · 519 bans
50%
Lina
Lina
260 picks · 342 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
258 picks · 323 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 39%
Hero pool strength54% Neon Esports
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total79% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:5
Neon Esports 66%Army Geniuses 34%
The model gave 66% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 27:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackSkem
50% · 26 games50% · 46 games
Drow RangerMamangDaya
Drow Ranger
Axe
AxeEnryu
54% · 52 games58% · 49 games
BroodmotherwoMy
Broodmother
Invoker
InvokerYopaj
49% · 69 games45% · 149 games
Death Prophetdb-
Death Prophet
Phoenix
PhoenixJaunuel
46% · 115 games50% · 85 games
Dark WillowLym-
Dark Willow
Hoodwink
HoodwinkShanks
51% · 67 games
Game 2prediction correct23:15
Neon Esports 67%Army Geniuses 33%
The model gave 67% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 32:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaSkem
50% · 64 games53% · 50 games
Nature's Prophetdb-
Nature's Prophet
Leshrac
LeshracYopaj
58% · 49 games51% · 51 game
EnigmawoMy
Enigma
Viper
ViperEnryu
44% · 61 game43% · 45 games
WindrangerMamangDaya
Windranger
Nyx Assassin
Nyx AssassinShanks
53% · 83 games48% · 111 games
HoodwinkLym-
Hoodwink
Omniknight
OmniknightJaunuel
little data
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 79%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2